Gallup Poll: Joe Biden Sinks to Historically Lowest Approval Average in 13th Quarter at 38.7%

By WENDELL HUSEBØ

President Joe Biden’s approval rating average (38.7 percent) in the 13th quarter is the lowest of any president recorded, Gallup polling found on Friday.

• Biden’s terrible approval numbers of his 13th quarter in office, which began on January 20 and ended April 19, suggests he will have a difficult time winning reelection.

  Presidents historically need to average around 50 percent to win reelection.

  “Jimmy Carter is the only other president with a sub-50% average in his 13th quarter. Three of the four prior presidents who had 13th-quarter approval averages below 50% lost their reelection bids, with Obama the exception,” Gallup reported.

  • • Eisenhower: 73.2 percent
  • • Nixon: 53.7 percent
  • • Carter: 47.7 percent
  • • Reagan: 54.5 percent
  • • G.H.W. Bush: 41.8 percent
  • • Clinton: 53 percent
  • • G.W. Bush: 51 percent
  • • Obama: 45.9 percent
  • • Trump: 46.8 percent
  • • Biden: 38.7 percent

  Four of the six presidents who were reelected — Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton and George W. Bush — averaged between 51% and 55% approval during their 13th quarters. Another, Dwight Eisenhower, had the highest average for a president at this stage of his presidency, 73.2%.
  
  From a broader historical perspective, Biden’s most recent quarterly average ranks 277th out of 314 presidential quarters in Gallup records dating to 1945. That puts it in the bottom 12% of all presidential quarters.
  
  …
  
  The latest quarterly average for Biden is technically the lowest of his presidency to date, though not meaningfully different from the previous quarter’s 39.0%. After Biden averaged better than 50% approval during his first two quarters in office, his subsequent readings have been near 40%.

  The poll sampled 1,001 adults from April 1-22 with a 4-point margin of error.