Page 103 - Vitamin D and Cancer
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90                                                      E. Giovannucci

            25(OH)D  was  low  at  pre-transplant  (17.6  ng/mL)  and  further  reduced  after  the
            transplant (post-transplant patients are advised to avoid sun exposure). Thirty-two
            cancers were diagnosed over 5 years of follow-up. 25(OH)D levels were lower in
            patients who developed cancer after transplantation (13.7 ± 6 vs 18.3 ± 17.8 ng/mL,
            P = 0.022). The risk of total cancer increased by 12% for each 1 ng/mL (2.5 nmol/L)
            decrement in 25(OH)D (RR = 1.12; 95% CI = 1.04–1.23; P = 0.021).



            4.10.2   Predicted 25(OH)D


            In  the  Health  Professionals  Follow-up  Study  cohort,  predicted  25(OH)D  levels
            were examined in relation to risk of total cancer in men. The methods for this analy-
            sis were discussed above (Sect. 4.3.2). From 1986 through January 31, 2000, 4,286
            incident cancers (excluding organ-confined prostate cancer and non-melanoma skin
            cancer)  and  2,025  cancer  deaths  from  cancer  were  identified.  An  increment  of
            25 nmol/L in predicted 25(OH)D level was associated with a 17% reduction in total
            cancer incidence (multivariate RR = 0.83, 95%CI = 0.74–0.92) and a 29% reduction
            in total cancer mortality (multivariate RR = 0.71, 95% CI = 0.60–0.83). The reduc-
            tion was largely confined to cancers of the digestive tract system, including esopha-
            gus, stomach, pancreas, colon, and rectum; as a group, there was a 45% reduction
            in  mortality  associated  with  a  25  nmol/L  increment  in  25(OH)D  (multivariate
            RR = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.41–0.74).



            4.10.3   Randomized Trials (RCT)


            Two RCTs of vitamin D supplementation and total cancer risk were identified. The
            first was an RCT of 2,037 men and 649 women aged 65–85 years living in the
            general community in the UK. The subjects took either 100,000 IU oral vitamin D
            (cholecalciferol)  supplementation  or  placebo  every  4  months  over  5  years  [86].
            After treatment, the 25(OH)D level was 74.3 nmol/L in the vitamin D group and
            53.4 nmol/L in the placebo group. There were 188 incident cancer cases in the
            vitamin  D  group  and  173  in  the  placebo  group,  and  no  overall  reduction  was
            observed for cancer risk (RR = 1.09, 95%CI = 86–1.36), although a slight, nonsig-
            nificant  reduction  in  risk  of  cancer  mortality  was  suggested  (RR = 0.86;
            95%CI = 0.61–1.20).
              The  other  RCT  was  a  4-year,  community-based,  double-blind,  placebo-con-
            trolled RCT of vitamin D and calcium of 1,179 US women aged >55 years living
            in Nebraska; the primary outcome was fracture incidence and the principal second-
            ary outcome was cancer incidence [87]. The subjects were randomly assigned to
            receive daily 1,400–1,500 mg supplemental calcium/d alone (Ca-only), supplemental
            calcium plus 1,100 IU vitamin D (Ca + D), or placebo. The achieved 25(OH)D level
            after treatment was 96 nmol/L in the vitamin D group and 71 in the non-vitamin D
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