Page 335 - Vitamin D and Cancer
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322                                                         R. Vieth

            14.3.1   Adaptation of Vitamin D Hydroxylases and Cancer Risk


            What needs to be established is whether a slow rate of adaptation of the vitamin D
            hydroxylases can be enough of a problem to affect cancer risk. It has recently been
            shown that risk of pancreatic cancer in the US north increases with rising 25(OH)
            D levels measured in summer, but in the US south, there is no such relationship
            [33]. This would be expected based on the hypothesis proposed here. The present
            hypothesis is also logically consistent with the evidence that some antineoplastic
            drugs suppress expression of CYP24 [51].
              Not all vitamin D-responsive tissues are likely to behave in the manner proposed here
            for the prostate. Colon cancer has been well validated epidemiologically as being pro-
            tected against by higher 25(OH)D concentrations [2, 7, 52]. However, the epidemiology
            of prostate [6, 29] and pancreatic cancers [8, 33] suggests that these tissues are inefficient
            at adapting to seasonal UV light and the seasonal cycles in serum 25(OH)D.
              So long as serum 25(OH)D concentrations are in a phase of decline, there can
            be no full achievement of tissue 1,25(OH) D to match its ideal set-point concentra-
                                             2
            tion. No matter how small the true increment below the set-point may prove to be,
            it is by definition, a sub-optimal concentration. This may not be harmful as a single
            event in an individual, but over many lifetimes, annual cycles of below set-point
            phases in tissue 1,25(OH) D will have an adverse effect on the risk of promotion or
                                2
            progression of certain types of cancer.



            14.4   Vitamin D Hypothesis for Cancer Prevention

            The hypothesis presented here integrates with the vitamin D hypothesis for cancer
            prevention in a manner that accounts for the apparent contradictions outlined in
            Table 14.1. This hypothesis is based on the unusual, first-order in vivo enzyme
            kinetics of the vitamin D system. The key prediction based on this hypothesis was
            published in 2004 was in relation to prostate cancer [30], and has been confirmed
            subsequently at least once, in the context of cancer of the pancreas as shown in
            Fig.  14.1 [33].  The  hypothesis  is  testable  in  experimental  models,  such  as  the
            TRAMP mouse model of prostate cancer, as well as with epidemiologic data. The
            prediction  is  not  tenable  as  a  primary  study  outcome  for  human  clinical  trials,
            because it predicts an increased risk of cancer of prostate and pancreas in individu-
            als given large doses of vitamin D at dosing intervals of more than 2 months.


            14.4.1   Implications of the Model


            A major problem for clinical research is poor adherence to medication, which results
            in negative findings [53, 54]. One way to improve adherence is to give vitamin D
            less frequently, but at larger doses [55, 56]. A general guideline for a dosing interval
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