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4  The Epidemiology of Vitamin D and Cancer Risk                75

            level. Before the specific studies are reviewed, the major strengths and limitations
            of the various approaches to assess vitamin D status that have been used will be
            summarized.




            4.2   Overview of Study Designs

            4.2.1   Prospective Studies of Circulating 25(OH) Vitamin D
                   and Cancer Risk


            Some studies have examined plasma or serum 25(OH) level in relation to cancer
            risk, especially for colorectal cancer and for prostate cancer. There are a few other
            studies for other endpoints, including breast, ovarian, and pancreatic cancers. The
            studies based on circulating 25(OH)D level are arguably the “gold standard” among
            observational studies for testing the vitamin D cancer hypothesis because 25(OH)
            D accounts not only for skin exposure to UV-B radiation, but also for factors that
            determine vitamin D status, such as total vitamin D intake and skin pigmentation.
            In addition, 25(OH)D has a relatively long half-life (t ) in the circulation of about
                                                       1/2
            2–3 weeks, and thus can provide a fairly good indicator of long-term vitamin D
            status. For example, in one study of middle-aged to elderly men, the correlation of
            two 25(OH)D measures approximately 3 years apart was 0.7 [9]. However, it is not
            clear  how  the  consistency  of  25(OH)D  over  time  would  be  across  other
            populations.
              In epidemiologic studies, circulating 25(OH)D has typically been based on a
            measure  in  archived  blood  samples  using  a  nested  case–control  study  design.
            Because the sample is taken before the diagnosis of cancer, in some cases over a
            decade before, it is unlikely that any association observed is due to reverse causa-
            tion, that is, spuriously due to the cancer influencing the blood level. One complexity
            in studies of 25(OH)D is that typically only one measurement is made, and levels
            fluctuate seasonally throughout the year due to variances in sun exposure. Several
            studies have been based on the measurement of 25(OH)D in individuals already
            diagnosed with cancer; these studies need to be interpreted very cautiously because
            of the potential for the phenomenon of reverse causation. For example, during treat-
            ment period for cancer, exposure to sunlight is likely to be very skewed due to
            hospitalizations, disability, change in habit, etc. Thus, these types of studies are not
            summarized in detail here.




            4.2.2   Studies of Vitamin D Intake


            Vitamin D intakes are relatively low in general because of the scarcity of vitamin D
            in natural foods and fortification of this vitamin is limited. For example, a glass
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