Page 169 - Trump University Commercial Real Estate 101
P. 169

Take Onl y Intelligent Risks



                         How many of those properties are being built near your property?
                   If the number is higher than average, you now have another question
                   to answer: Is the market becoming oversupplied, or is it growing so
                   fast that the absorption far exceeds supply?
                         Is there any vacant land near your property that could be built on?
                         Have there been any recent announcements that jobs were leaving
                   the area?
                         What have rents been doing for the past couple of years? Have
                   they been stagnant or rising, or are they just starting to rise after years
                   of weakness?
                         These are all important questions to ask about a market before you
                   enter it. The answers will determine your exit strategy and your buy-
                   ing parameters.
                         If you ’ ve been in a market that ’ s had a long  run - up , or increase, you
                   know that it will soon be oversupplied. In that case, your exit strategy
                   should be to hold nothing in this market. Instead, you should buy the
                   property and quickly sell to another buyer so that you get into a cash
                   position. Cash will be king in the coming   down-market in that area.
                         What if you have a  killer deal , and you hate the thought of just fl ip-
                   ping it? Consider flipping it and when the market rolls over, pick up

                   the same killer deal for less, six to eight months later.
                         If you do buy that deal at the peak of the market, get ready for it to
                   look not so killer for a while. You ’ re going to have to hold it while the
                   market declines and eventually rebounds. It ’ s generally not a good idea
                   to do this, because your money will be tied up for a long time. During
                   that period you will have missed the opportunity to make faster, more
                   profitable plays elsewhere.


                                Don ’ t Let Yourself Be the Cause of Failure

                     This usually happens in one of three ways:

                        1.   Not taking action
                        2.   Being cheap
                        3.   Doing marginal deals

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