Page 54 - Trump University Commercial Real Estate 101
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TRUMP UNIVERSITY COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE 101



                   families in an area; size of those entities; median income; age; ethnic
                   makeup; and so on.
                         A professional  demographer  will analyze an area by drawing three
                   rings on a map of the property and its market. The rings are drawn at
                   a one - mile, three - mile, and fi ve - mile radius around the property.
                         As an owner, you should know the demographic makeup within
                   each of these rings. A restaurant owner may have a great chef, the
                   best food, and award - winning d é cor, but if the right consumers for his
                   food are not found within that three - mile ring, he ’ s looking at a real
                   uphill climb.
                         An apartment owner might have an option to buy a  Class B  prop-
                   erty for a great price. The property is in good repair and the numbers

                   look fine. But if the income level has dropped for residents within that
                   three - mile radius, that ’ s probably the reason why the price is so
                     attractive. That property will be harder — not impossible, but much
                   harder — to fill. Because 80 percent of apartment tenants come from

                   within a three - mile radius of the property, this sudden income shift
                   may now mean that they cannot afford your B rents.
                         Apartments will not be the only commercial properties affected by
                   this lower income. The area may no longer be able to support higher -
                     end retail and restaurants. As leases come due, Target stores may be
                   replaced by Dollar stores. This is a sign that the economics are wors-

                   ening and you are definitely not on the  path of progress . Values will
                   suffer.


                       Traffi c Count

                     All commercial properties are concerned with traffic count. How many

                   potential customers are going by every day? How many eyeballs will
                   see the property signage? Different types of retail stores need different

                   minimum traffic counts to be successful, unless they have a large com-
                   ponent of Internet sales, or they are particularly good at marketing.
                   Very few are.




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